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Matchup Team:BYU CougarsOpponent:Iowa State Cyclones NCAA DIVISION I · MEN'S BASKETBALL 2025-26 season · final · last game Apr 7, 2026 SEASON 2025-26 2024-25 HOME RANKINGS SCORECARD MATCHUP MODEL SEASON TOURNAMENT Any two teams at a neutral site. Pick both in the top right. BYU BYU Cougars #24 · 23-12 · Big 12 27% ISU Iowa State Cyclones #7 · 27-8 · Big 12 73%NEUTRAL SITE · PROJECTED MARGIN Iowa State Cyclones by 5.6 Iowa State Cyclones The model's pick 73% Win probability +5.6 Expected margin at a neutral site 27% Chance the focus team wins 23% What the efficiency rating alone says 32% What Elo alone says A longer bar is always betterThe two teams, measure by measureA longer bar is always better BYU Cougars Iowa State Cyclones 0 +10 +20 +30 Points per 100 possessions, except tempo Efficiency margin +24.0 +33.7 Offence above 100 +25.1 +25.1 Defence below 100 −1.1 +8.6 Tempo above 60 +8.0 +8.1 Win probability at a neutral site0%20%40%60%80%100%Win probabilityNebraska CornhuskersTennessee VolunteersAlabama Crimson TideSt. John's Red StormMichigan State SpartansUConn HuskiesPurdue BoilermakersGonzaga BulldogsIowa State CyclonesIllinois Fighting IlliniHouston CougarsFlorida GatorsArizona WildcatsDuke Blue DevilsMichigan WolverinesAgainst the fifteen best teams in the countryWin probability at a neutral site The blend, and each half of the model on its ownThe same games, with both halves of the modelThe blend, and each half of the model on its own#OpponentConferenceRecordMarginModelEfficiency OnlyElo OnlyGap1Michigan WolverinesBig Ten36-3−11.411%9%15%5%2Duke Blue DevilsACC34-3−10.513121533Arizona WildcatsBig 1235-3−9.316141844Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten26-8−6.7231929105Florida GatorsSEC26-8−7.421192346Houston CougarsBig 1229-7−6.723232317Iowa State CyclonesBig 1227-8−5.627233298Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten28-9−5.328263049Gonzaga BulldogsWCC29-4−5.4272827110UConn HuskiesBig East33-6−4.7303326711Michigan State SpartansBig Ten26-8−4.0333431312Alabama Crimson TideSEC24-10−3.5353633313Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten28-7−2.2403843514Tennessee VolunteersSEC24-12−2.6383938115St. John's Red StormBig East29-7−3.535382910 Data as of 16:45 UTC on 4 Nov 2026 made withdbt Charts