Full Data Stack Lab · charts
Charts home
Rankings
Scorecard
Matchup
Model
Season
Tournament
Dashboard
Headline numbers for the latest season, and the way into the six boards that
carry the detail.
2026
Season
5,783
Games modelled
72
%
Best honest forecast
0.178
Brier score
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
70%
75%
Accuracy
The number the lab exists to move
Elo's regular-season accuracy, scored only on games it had not seen
The top ten
By adjusted efficiency margin, which is the model's own opinion
#
Team
Conference
Record
Margin
1
Michigan Wolverines
Big Ten
36-3
+41.9
2
Duke Blue Devils
ACC
34-3
+40.5
3
Arizona Wildcats
Big 12
35-3
+37.9
4
Illinois Fighting Illini
Big Ten
26-8
+36.6
5
Florida Gators
SEC
26-8
+35.1
6
Houston Cougars
Big 12
29-7
+34.5
7
Iowa State Cyclones
Big 12
27-8
+33.7
8
Purdue Boilermakers
Big Ten
28-9
+32.9
9
Gonzaga Bulldogs
WCC
29-4
+31.6
10
UConn Huskies
Big East
33-6
+30.3
These boards are YAML. Each one is a file in the same repository as the dbt
models it reads, so a chart and the column behind it change in one commit
and get reviewed together.
The pipeline is the same one behind the Evidence dashboard, which the last
button above goes to: public APIs into Parquet, DuckDB and dbt in the middle,
Dagster on a nightly schedule. These pages are a second opinion on the
presentation layer, not a second pipeline.
Built with
dbt Charts
. The source for every board is in
full-data-stack-lab
.
Data as of 01:14 UTC on 16 Sep 2026
made with
dbt Charts