Full Data Stack Lab · charts
NCAA DIVISION I · MEN'S BASKETBALL
2025-26 season · final · last game Apr 7, 2026
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This season's headline numbers. The buttons above go to the detail.
2026
Season
5,783
Games modelled
72
%
Best honest forecast
0.178
Brier score
By adjusted efficiency margin
The top ten
By adjusted efficiency margin
1
MICH
Michigan Wolverines
Big Ten · 36-3
+41.9
2
DUKE
Duke Blue Devils
ACC · 34-3
+40.5
3
ARIZ
Arizona Wildcats
Big 12 · 35-3
+37.9
4
ILL
Illinois Fighting Illini
Big Ten · 26-8
+36.6
5
FLA
Florida Gators
SEC · 26-8
+35.1
6
HOU
Houston Cougars
Big 12 · 29-7
+34.5
7
ISU
Iowa State Cyclones
Big 12 · 27-8
+33.7
8
PUR
Purdue Boilermakers
Big Ten · 28-9
+32.9
9
GONZ
Gonzaga Bulldogs
WCC · 29-4
+31.6
10
CONN
UConn Huskies
Big East · 33-6
+30.3
Regular-season accuracy on games it had not seen
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
70%
75%
Accuracy
The number the lab exists to move
Regular-season accuracy on games it had not seen
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Data as of 20:01 UTC on 3 Nov 2026
made with
dbt Charts