Team scorecard

Every number that decides whether a team is any good, on one screen. Pick a team. It opens on BYU.

The short version is at the top: where the team ranks, what it has done, and what the model makes of it in one sentence. Everything below that is the working.

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Loading... · Loading... overall · Loading... in conference · ranked Loading... of Loading... nationally and Loading... in the league · Loading... wins from Loading... games against the top 50 · Loading... season
The model has this team Loading..., ranked Loading... of Loading... at Loading... points per 100 possessions, and Loading.... It has won Loading... of its last Loading....

Elo

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Scoring margin, last ten

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Win rate, last ten

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Opponent Elo, last ten

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Net efficiency

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Offense

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Defense

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Tempo

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The top row is this season moving: each tile draws its own last ten games and compares where the team is now against where they finished last season. The bottom row is the opponent adjusted ratings, which the warehouse holds for this season only, so they carry their national rank instead of a trend.

The detail

Everything from here is the working behind the two rows above: where the team sits against the field, how the season moved, and every game it played.

Where they stand

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The season as it happened

Elo after every game. The level says how good they are. The slope says whether they are getting there.

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Five seasons

Where the program has been, not just where it is. One line, every game since

Loading...: the flat stretches are summers, and each climb or slide is a season. A team peaking is a line that ends higher than the one before it started.
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Seasons on record

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Games played

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Best Elo reached

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Lowest Elo reached

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Form and March

Waiting on data

The last ten games

The winning or losing margin of each of this team's most recent games. It needs results, so it fills in once they have played.

Waiting on data

How far the simulations take them

The share of 20,000 simulated brackets in which this team reaches each round. Drawn only for teams in the projected field: the bracket page has the 64 that are.

Not in the projected field. The bracket page has the 64 teams that are.

What is next

The rest of the schedule, priced the same way the upcoming picks page prices it. "Model" is this team's chance of winning, "market" is what the betting consensus gives them, and a game with no market number is one no book has posted yet.

Waiting on data

The rest of the schedule, priced

This team's next ten fixtures with the model's line beside the market's. The schedule arrives with the rest of the game feed, so a fixture appears here as soon as the source carries it.

Good offense or good defense

Every Division I team placed by what they do at each end, with this team marked. Defense is inverted, so up and to the right is good at both.

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The wins that count

Ranked by how unlikely the model thought each one was before tip-off. A team's best result is not its biggest blowout, it is the game it had no business winning.

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Every game

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